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15.10.2020 - Coronavirus

Second wave? All just a statistical error?

by Philipp Immenkötter

In Great Britain, politicians are currently often shown off when confronted with the false-positive rate of tests for the coronavirus. Calculations suggest that the majority of all newly infected people are not ill at all, but rather that the tests ...

12.06.2020 - Coronavirus

Second Wave? Choppy Water!

by Philipp Immenkötter

There is no uniform epidemiological opinion as to how the pandemic will continue in Germany. Nevertheless, there is increasing evidence that virologists do not expect a second wave-like outbreak. Rather, local outbreaks are to be expected. Germany sh ...

20.05.2020 - Society & Finance

Excess mortality - a better measure?

by Philipp Immenkötter

The excess mortality (numbers of deaths compared to previous years) provides information on the development and extent of the Covid-19 pandemic. The advantage of the approach is its independence from the authorities' survey procedures but comes with ...

30.04.2020 - Companies

More transparency needed at the RKI

by Philipp Immenkötter

The computations of the reproduction number R by the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) are puzzling and cause unnecessary disturbance. One of the reasons is a lack of transparency.

23.04.2020 - Companies

EBC: Earnings before Corona

by Philipp Immenkötter

The reporting season of the Corona Quarter is just around the corner and will be anything but cheerful. Apart from the question of how high the losses will be, one can eagerly expect how the results will be presented. Will " earnings before coro ...

15.04.2020 - Macroeconomics

Corona: Forecasts and their Problems

by Philipp Immenkötter

Every day, insights about the corona virus and its possible future development are pouring in on us. Many forecasts give rise to hopes for a relaxation of restrictions on work and life. On the other hand, other forecasts suggest that the health care ...
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