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14.06.2019 - Macroeconomics

La négligence parfait

by Agnieszka Gehringer

Worsening French fundamentals should bring France more in line with Italy. Accordingly, some convergence between the French and Italian government bond yields may be justified.

11.06.2019 - Wealth Price Index

Declining Prices in Northern Europe

by Philipp Immenkötter

In 2018, asset prices fell in many countries of the Euro area. In contrast to the development in recent years, however, it is not the southern countries of the euro area that have experienced a price erosion, the northern countries have. Drastically ...

11.06.2019 - Macroeconomics

Make a wish come true – On the value of economic forecasts

by Agnieszka Gehringer, Kai Lehmann

Inaccurate economic forecasts have deeper reasons than just uncertainty about the future. However, the incentives for this are quite different for companies on the one hand and for macro experts on the other.

16.04.2019 - Macroeconomics

The ghost of the European doom loop

by Agnieszka Gehringer

The stocks of sovereign debt held by banks especially in countries with vulnerable public finances and weaker banking systems have increased of late. Either could a further deterioration of public finances cause a banking crisis or growing problems i ...

06.03.2019 - Macroeconomics

The paradox of the ECB long-term refinancing operations

by Agnieszka Gehringer

Were TLTROs to expire or become more expensive, the interest margins of banks – especially in Southern Europe (Italy and Spain) – would be negatively hit and the credit impulse would weaken.

22.02.2019 - Macroeconomics

Greece’s Pyrrhic Victory

by Thomas Mayer

Membership in EMU keeps Greece locked in deflationary debt and cost reduction, with which it cannot cope, despite all well-intended structural reform.

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