So now Vladimir Putin has made real what US President Joe Biden has been predicting for some time: The invasion of Ukraine. Here are a few preliminary thoughts.

Overcoming political and social polarisation in Western societies could become a question of survival for the West.

The ambition of the ECB in greening its monetary policy seems to be driven by an ever stronger will to seize more power.

China is blackmailing Lithuania by geo-economic means. In order to be able to counter such blackmail in a united manner, the European Union wants to enact an anti-coercion instrument.

The conflict between China and Taiwan has many economic and geo-economic elements and could have far-reaching economic consequences.

Inflation in China is still moderate. However, there are increasing signs that this could change soon.