18.12.2020 - Macroeconomics

A rocky road to economic recovery

by Pablo Duarte

Although the first vaccinations have begun, the Coronavirus pandemic will continue to have a decisive impact on the coming year. This is indicated by the data of our "Real Economy Tracker".

30.11.2020 - Macroeconomics

The Corona Cycle

by Pablo Duarte

Viral infections follow a cyclical pattern. The coronavirus does not follow a mere biological cycle, but its trajectory is also shaped by social dynamics. Instead of a bell-shaped curve the virus spreads in waves.

28.09.2020 - Macroeconomics

Real Economy Outlook: the path ahead

by Pablo Duarte

With constantly increasing new infections of the coronavirus worldwide, a second wave taking place in western Europe and the lack of a clear prospect of a vaccine, China and the US have the better economic prospects for the rest of 2020 and 2021. The ...

04.09.2020 - Macroeconomics

More money will not save the EMU

by Pablo Duarte

Economic divergence in the Eurozone rose to its highest level and fiscal transfers are being used to keep the euro area countries together. The strategy can backfire as money transfers can fuel conflicts by increasing citizens’ dissatisfaction with d ...

24.06.2020 - Macroeconomics

Are we there yet? Tracking Economic Recovery in Germany

by Pablo Duarte

Our new real econony index shows that the German economy started a slight recovery by the second week of June.

15.06.2020 - Macroeconomics

The self-destruction of the risk society

by Thomas Mayer

The risk society is the answer to the uncertainty of the future in the modern, open society. Uncertainty is transformed into risks that are to be minimized or even avoided altogether by measuring them. But the risk society is "reflexive", which means ...
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