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Studies

13.12.2018 - Macroeconomics

Brexit: Lower immigration, lower growth

by Agnieszka Gehringer

The uncertainty around Brexit is worsening the UK migration balance with the EU. This can have negative consequences for the British labor market.

30.11.2018 - Macroeconomics

Trade war’s missed goals: the case of steel products

by Agnieszka Gehringer

Since the beginning of 2018 the Trump administration has taken various protectionist measures on US imports. No easing is in sight. In the run-up to the upcoming G-20 summit in Buenos Aires, US President has threatened to intensify protectionist meas ...

20.09.2018 - Macroeconomics

Political test for Europe moves closer

by Agnieszka Gehringer

More than 26 years ago, renowned economists from Germany warned against the monetary policy rules set out in the Maastricht Treaty. Accordingly, a lack of convergence of economic structures would pose a danger to Europe. Economic structures have not ...

16.08.2018 - Society & Finance

Yesterday wow, tomorrow pooh – Factor strategies in the European ETF market

by Agnieszka Gehringer, Kai Lehmann

"Smart beta” ETFs are becoming increasingly popular in Europe as well. However, similar to their US counterparts, their performance to date is at best average.

16.08.2018 - Macroeconomics

Rise of the Dragon 4.0

by Agnieszka Gehringer, Norbert F. Tofall

By 2025, China is expected to become a technologically independent high-tech superpower. But what is the reaction to this plan? Keeping China economically small is neither legitimate nor wise and it will not succeed. An economically growing China is ...

18.07.2018 - Macroeconomics

US monetary policy in the trade war

by Agnieszka Gehringer

Trade wars have the potential to create additional inflationary pressures before economic activity weakens. US monetary policy could be more restrictive at first, but then more expansionary again.

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