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11.10.2019 - Macroeconomics

Introducing the FvS Business Cycle Indicator for Germany

by Thomas Mayer, Agnieszka Gehringer

Developments of the FvS BCI so far this year suggest that recession could have started in April 2019. But a final judgement based on our methodology will have to wait until we have seen the recession trough.

26.09.2019 - Companies

Adjusted but still biased

by Philipp Immenkötter

About half of the DAX companies report adjusted earnings per share that deviate from the accounting standard. Often costs are declared as special effects but are recurrent in nature. Likewise, income that was generated by the costs is left in the res ...

20.09.2019 - Economics, Politics & Philosophy

Draghi & Lagarde versus European Debt Brakes

by Norbert F. Tofall

The calls by Mario Draghi and Christine Lagarde for fiscal policy to now tackle the weakening of the economy are countered by the European Debt Brakes.

09.09.2019 - Companies

Provisions as an instrument of influencing earning (?)

by Kai Lehmann

The DAX companies do not use the leeway in accounting for provisions for accounting purposes. Thus, there is only a weak correlation between the development of provisions and the earnings situation.

09.09.2019 - Macroeconomics

The digital Euro

by Thomas Mayer

The euro should be restructured as a full digital currency. The Euro would then no longer be created by banks though loans and neither misused by the Euro states as a financing instrument. The economy and the financial system would become more stable ...

09.09.2019 - Macroeconomics

Time for central banks to be creative?

by Agnieszka Gehringer

Due to the weakening inflation expectations and trade war’s uncertainties, major central banks are expected to implement strategies to prevent an accident.

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