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Flossbach von Storch
Research
CommentariesStudiesFvS Wealth Price Index for GermanyFvS Wealth Price Series for the Euro AreaFvS Business Cycle IndicatorFvS Real Economy TrackerFvS Inflation TrackerThe Euro MeltdownPressPeer reviewed publications
Studies

07.08.2023 - Macroeconomics

Inverse Yield Curve – and now?

by Pablo Duarte

Since 1970, the yield curve has sent useful signals for economic forecasting and equity investment. Is it something investors can rely on in the future?

26.05.2023 - Macroeconomics

How sensitive are equity returns to changes in the macroeconomic environment?

by Pablo DuarteSven Ebert

We show the impact of changing inflation expectations on various sectors of the S&P 500.

05.12.2022 - Macroeconomics

Has inflation really peaked? The deceitful base effect

by Pablo Duarte

A recent drop in the inflation rate in the U.S. triggered euphoria in the markets. But, is inflation really falling or are we just seeing a base effect because inflation rose so quickly last year?

16.05.2022 - Wealth Price Index

Q1-2022: Trend reversal underway

by Pablo DuartePhilipp Immenkötter

For more than ten years, asset prices rose much faster than consumer prices. The impact of the corona pandemic and recent geopolitical changes now appear to have reversed this trend. Both measures of inflation are currently on par. Unaffected by this ...

17.11.2021 - Wealth Price Index

Q3-2021: Inflation on all fronts

by Philipp ImmenkötterPablo Duarte

Asset prices in Germany increased by +12.1%. It is the highest value since the start of the time series. Real estate, business wealth and shares in particular increased sharply in price. A recovery of the real economy, monetary and fiscal policy, ris ...

19.08.2021 - Wealth Price Index

Q2-2021: Real estate prices soaring

by Pablo DuartePhilipp Immenkötter

Asset prices for private German households have risen sharply in the last four quarters. Real estate prices in particular recorded the strongest increase since the start of the time series in 2005.
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